Statistics

Card Draw Probability Calculator

Probability of drawing specific cards from a standard deck.

Enter your values

ⓘ Live results

Results
P(at least 1 match)
34.116%
P(zero matches)
65.884%
Total ways to draw n cards
2,598,960

Quick answer

Uses the hypergeometric idea: probability of at least one match is 1 minus the probability of drawing zero matches.

P(>=1 match) = 1 - C(52-k,n)/C(52,n)

How to use the Card Draw Probability Calculator

  1. 1Enter how many cards in the 52-card deck count as a 'match' (e.g. 4 aces).
  2. 2Enter how many cards you draw without replacement.
  3. 3The probability of zero matches is subtracted from 1 to get at least one match.

Worked example

Using the values the calculator loads with:

Inputs

  • Matching cards in deck4
  • Cards drawn5

Results

  • P(at least 1 match)34.116%
  • P(zero matches)65.884%
  • Total ways to draw n cards2,598,960

Frequently asked questions

What if k=0?

There are no matching cards, so the probability of a match is 0%.

Does order of drawing matter?

No, this uses combinations, so the order the cards are drawn in doesn't matter.

About this calculator

Results are estimates for general information. For medical, legal, structural or financial decisions, confirm with a qualified professional.